Cold Snap | Issue 63

Housing in cold
  • Scottish rents rise 8.3% YOY
  • Stock levels at historic lows
  • Snap policy announcement freezes rises for pre-existing tenancies
  • Concerns mount for future supply
  • Demand remains perennially strong

Scottish Monthly Rent Analysis Q3 2021-Q3 2022

The third quarter of any year is often the most intense for demand relative to supply sending available stocks to their seasonal low. Q3 2022 not only met that expectation but exceeded seasonal norms sending average stock levels to historic lows after having recovered mildly in the previous quarter.

It is not surprising that, despite undoubted good intentions, the lettings industry across the full private and social spectrum have raised legitimate concerns for future supply levels after the snap policy announcement to freeze rent rises for existing tenancies and evictions in early September. Questions too as to the calculations for overall net benefit to the sector and what underpinned policy. Citylets records trends in the open market at tenancy formation where supply has been chronically restrained.


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Scotland Average Stock Levels Q4 19 to Q3 22

Scotland

Average Rent (pcm) by Number of Bedrooms

Average Time To Let (TTL) by Number of Bedrooms

Citylets Rental Index - Scotland

YearQ1Q2Q3Q4
2008 100.0 101.6 102.8 100.2
2009 98.8 98.1 99.2 97.7
2010 98.9 101.4 100.6 99.8
2011 100.3 102.8 103.9 101.7
2012 102.9 104.2 105.0 104.0
2013 104.7 107.4 106.5 105.1
2014 108.4 112.1 114.1 113.5
2015 116.4 118.1 117.4 115.7
2016 118.9 120.5 120.2 114.6
2017 119.1 122.3 119.7 113.8
2018 120.9 123.9 122.3 119.5
2019 122.9 129.1 127.3 123.6
2020 125.7 130.9 134.1 128.1
2021 128.1 136.9 140.5 134.7
2022 138.9 150.4 152.1  

Market Composition

Households: Rented

Karen Turner

Karen Turner - Rettie & Co

“The summer months have remained buoyant with tenant demand high. We have seen a larger amount of student enquiries which is down to many not having moved on at the end of the last academic year. Edinburgh and Glasgow have both experienced a similar level of interest. Time to let is down and rents up. It really is a race for space at the moment and it shows no signs of abating. We require to see positive steps to support investment into the PRS, not more hurdles to get through.”

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