Back to Black | Issue 62

Aberdeen and oil
  • Rents climb 9.9% YOY
  • Aberdeen posts continued positive growth
  • Double digit annual growth for major cities
  • Stock levels remain close to historic lows

Scottish Monthly Rent Analysis Q2 2021-Q2 2022

Stock levels in Scotland’s PRS, whilst improved marginally on the previous quarter, remained at near historic lows throughout Q2 2022. Demand was unrelenting across all property types and locations despite the deepening economic and geo-political anxieties exacerbated by a war in Europe where the gravest of economic concerns subsequent to its onset slowly played out towards the worst case scenario following sanctions imposed on Russia.

High demand and low supply once again combined to push Scottish rents up 9.9% year on year (YOY) to a new all time high (ATH) of £970 per month and kept Time To Lets (TTLs) low, averaging 18 days. On current trajectory it is reasonable to assume the average property to rent in Scotland will soon exceed £1000 for the first time. All properties large and small let at approximately the same rate in the 16-19 day range underlining the broad demographic of the modern tenant market from single studios to large family homes.


Scotland Average Stock Levels Q3 19 to Q2 22

Scotland

Average Rent (pcm) by Number of Bedrooms

Average Time To Let (TTL) by Number of Bedrooms

Citylets Rental Index - Scotland

YearQ1Q2Q3Q4
2008 100.0 101.6 102.8 100.2
2009 98.8 98.1 99.2 97.7
2010 98.9 101.4 100.6 99.8
2011 100.3 102.8 103.9 101.7
2012 102.9 104.2 105.0 104.0
2013 104.7 107.4 106.5 105.1
2014 108.4 112.1 114.1 113.5
2015 116.4 118.1 117.4 115.7
2016 118.9 120.5 120.2 114.6
2017 119.1 122.3 119.7 113.8
2018 120.9 123.9 122.3 119.5
2019 122.9 129.1 127.3 123.6
2020 125.7 130.9 134.1 128.1
2021 128.1 136.9 140.5 134.7
2022 138.9 150.4    

Market Composition

Households: Rented

Adrian Sangster

Adrian Sangster - Aberdein Considine

“Tenant demand continues to outweigh supply in all Scottish cities, resulting in increased rents and shortening TTL. Long-term landlords exiting the sector, coupled with tenants staying longer, are contributing to this imbalance. However, as Einstein said - “in the middle of every difficulty lies opportunity”. I believe this opportunity is open to new investor landlords who, if they buy the right properties in the right area, can expect decent yields and return on investment. There are still BTL mortgage deals out there but I would suggest to those thinking about it to move quickly.”

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