Capital Unrest | Issue 56

Edinburgh Skyline
  • Capital rents fall 4.1%
  • Scotland continues growth at 3.6%
  • Glasgow remains on upward trend
  • Remote learning impacts student demand

Scottish Monthly Rent Analysis Q4 2019-Q4 2020

Rental property search remained strong throughout many parts of Scotland pushing the National average higher in Q4 2020. However the fall out from the large volume of holiday lets onto some parts of the Edinburgh residential market began to exert predictable drag on the capital sending rents materially down for the city as a whole for the first time in over ten years.

Whilst coronavirus restrictions tightened throughout the quarter as evidence of a second wave began to build, the property market was however kept fully open allowing tenants opportunity to change their environment to suit their needs and adapt to new home and working requirements.

Many students took up their accommodation with optimism at the start of the academic year however HMOs came under pressure as the number of empty student properties rose as the promise blended learning ebbed away towards year end.


Scotland Average Stock Levels 2020

Scotland

Average Rent (pcm) by Number of Bedrooms

Average Time To Let (TTL) by Number of Bedrooms

Citylets Rental Index - Scotland

YearQ1Q2Q3Q4
2008 100.0 101.6 102.8 100.2
2009 98.8 98.1 99.2 97.7
2010 98.9 101.4 100.6 99.8
2011 100.3 102.8 103.9 101.7
2012 102.9 104.2 105.0 104.0
2013 104.7 107.4 106.5 105.1
2014 108.4 112.1 114.1 113.5
2015 116.4 118.1 117.4 115.7
2016 118.9 120.5 120.2 114.6
2017 119.1 122.3 119.7 113.8
2018 120.9 123.9 122.3 119.5
2019 122.9 129.1 127.3 123.6
2020 125.7 130.9 134.1 128.1

Market Composition

Households: Rented

Adrian Sangster

Adrian Sangster - Aberdein Considine

“During previous times of social uncertainty (ie financial crash of 2008), I witnessed that the flexible nature of the PRS appealed to a wider selection of people. This has been the case again, with those who are not prepared (or perhaps not in a position to) to commit to buying a property looking to rent instead. We have experienced first-hand increased demand for larger family homes. It’s not all good news for landlords however, as we have also witnessed a decline in demand for student HMO’s. This has been due to a huge reduction of international students, home studies and others seeking just sole occupancy or sharing with one other.”

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