Squeeze On Supply Pushes Capital To New Heights | Issue 45

Stock
  • Scottish average rises 1.6% to £780 per month
  • Edinburgh continues upwards growth at 3.8% to all time high
  • Glasgow overtakes Aberdeen as Scotland’s second priciest PRS
  • High demand for large properties pushes city averages higher

Scottish Monthly Rent Analysis Q1 2017-Q1 2018

After 2 consecutive quarters of mild negative growth, the Scottish PRS returned to the black in Q1 2018 with average rents rising 1.6% year on year (YOY) to stand at £780 per month. Competition for larger 4 bed properties in particular in key urban markets resulted in steep gains, likely reflecting the strong seasonal student demand where there is some evidence to suggest supply is further constrained this year. PRS supply, in terms of available stock, has been reducing steadily from its 2013 peak.

Scotland

Average Rent (pcm) by Number of Bedrooms

Average Time To Let (TTL) by Number of Bedrooms

Citylets Rental Index - Scotland

YearQ1Q2Q3Q4
2008 100.0 101.6 102.8 100.2
2009 98.8 98.1 99.2 97.7
2010 98.9 101.4 100.6 99.8
2011 100.3 102.8 103.9 101.7
2012 102.9 104.2 105.0 104.0
2013 104.7 107.4 106.5 105.1
2014 108.4 112.1 114.1 113.5
2015 116.4 118.1 117.4 115.7
2016 118.9 120.5 120.2 114.6
2017 119.1 122.3 119.7 113.8
2018 120.9      

Market Composition

Households: Rented

Adrian Sangster

Adrian Sangster - Aberdein Considine

“We believe we are seeing the first signs of a slowdown in the BTL market as tax changes from both Holyrood and Westminster begin to bite. The LBTT surcharge of 3%, which was designed to help first-time buyers by discouraging the competition of second home purchasers, does not appear to be having the desired effect. Recent research shows house purchase prices actually increased in 26 out of the 32 local authority areas. So whilst prices continue to increase it appears the supply of rented properties is falling.”

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