Aberdeen

Rents in Aberdeen began to level off last quarter at 16.7% down year on year (YOY), less than the minus 20% previously recorded, and Q4 2016 shows this continuing trend. Average rents in the city stand at £790 per month, down 15.4% YOY similar to last quarter. It is likely that rents in Aberdeen will hit national average later this year. The average property in Aberdeen currently takes 52 days to let, up a modest 6 days on last year and further evidence of a market settling at a new level.

Market Overview - Q4 2016

BedsAverage
Rent
Rent Change
1yr
Rent Change
3yrs
Rent Change
5yrs
Av. TTL
(days)
TTL Change
YoY
Let within
a week
Let within
a month
1 bed £522 -15.4% -21.1% -9.7% 45 10 9% 37%
2 bed £736 -17.0% -26.8% -12.6% 54 5 6% 30%
3 bed £1,007 -17.0% -27.3% -16.0% 57 6 5% 29%
4 bed £1,454 -14.6% -26.6% -10.9% 65 0 5% 24%
Total £789 -15.5% -23.2% -11.7% 52 6 7% 32%

Average Rent (pcm) by Number of Bedrooms

Average Time To Let (TTL) by Number of Bedrooms

Rental Index (base Q1 2008)

YearQ1Q2Q3Q4
2008 100.0 99.5 100.7 98.8
2009 97.1 94.6 93.8 96.8
2010 96.9 96.5 96.3 98.3
2011 102.5 97.4 99.2 101.0
2012 103.2 101.8 101.6 107.3
2013 108.6 109.3 113.2 116.2
2014 120.5 122.5 120.6 125.4
2015 123.1 117.9 112.4 105.5
2016 97.7 93.9 93.7 89.2

Market Composition

Yield by Popular Postcode (Flats):

Postcode20172018201920202021
AB10 5.20% 5.40% 5.20% 5.30% 5.3%
AB11 5.60% 5.70% 6.00% 6.20% 6.1%
AB15 5.10% 4.90% 5.20% 5.20% 5.4%
AB24 6.60% 6.70% 6.40% 7.30% 7.4%
AB25 5.50% 5.30% 4.90% 5.60% 5.8%
Adrian Sangster

Adrian Sangster - Aberdein Considine

“We had a busy final quarter of 2016 with more new properties coming on the market and increased lets which is encouraging and hopefully a sign of things to come in 2017. It is my opinion that whilst the Aberdeen market has passed the worst, I am anticipating further minor falls in average rentals during the first half of 2017 before we start to see the beginning of a slow recovery. To paraphrase Winston Churchill I would suggest it is not the beginning of the end, but it is perhaps the end of the beginning.”

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